07
Dec
09

The ClimateGate View from the Autopsy

I’ve been semi-purposefully holding back on the ClimateGate (ugh, I hate naming anything “-gate”) scandal to see how this plays out.  And from what I can tell, there are two camps (surprise!), one group that denies that the problem is not the scientists but the “hackers” that released the data, and another group that seems to think these emails prove that the world is cooling.

From my perspective, I think that turning this on a hunt for the “hacker” is crazy.  It’s obvious from the files that this was a pre-compiled list of information for an FOI request.  It’s also obvious that someone involved in the compiling had a change of heart after reading through some of the material they were compiling, and then decided to release it.  The alternative theory is that someone knew there was an FOI document that was compiled at the CRU, stole it, then looked for information to discredit it.  Both would be released close to the Copenhagen meeting for maximum damage, and that’s what we’ve seen.

Does this disprove Anthropogenic Climate Change?  No.  ( AGW has yet to be concretely proven anyway.)  Does it prove there is a worldwide conspiracy to promote AGW?  No.  However, if there was any good science to come out of the CRU, this document release pretty much discredits it, and I’ll explain why.

  • In the code for computer “models” that were supposed to account for planetary temperature changes and predict future changes, there are plenty of comment lines that talk about temperature adjustments to make the data fit the the theory.  Scientists aren’t supposed to do that.  We’re supposed to form theories based upon collected data.  There are many entries of this in the released data from CRU.  Add to this the “trick” to “hide the decline”, and you’ve got people doing things that they shouldn’t be doing.  If there is a decline, report the decline.  Don’t falsify the data.
  • The deletion of raw data to avoid an FOI is damning.  Scientists don’t delete data unless it’s garbage, and even then, the methods to collect data are often rerun.  This is physical science as well, so hard, raw data is something you spend years collecting.
  • The refusal to cooperate with an FOI request is damning.  All science should be transparent.  If a center is designed to collect climate data, it should be open with that data.  Hiding it makes us wonder what they are hiding and why they are hiding it.  As they say in politics, it’s not the crime that gets you, it’s the cover-up.  And here some very prominent climatologists are hiding things.
  • Putting pressure on editors of peer-reviewed journals to exclude “denialists” is probably the biggest sin here.  When you attempt to exclude scientific conclusions to push your own agenda, you are no longer playing the role of scientist, but the role of ignorant Luddite.  Imagine some physicists put pressure on journal editors to exclude Einstein’s work on relativity to push their own Newtonian agenda?  Imagine what the world of physics would be without Einstein’s contributions?  These guys were attempting to bully scientific opinion.  The most memorably example of that is the Church bullying Gallileo.  I now consider these “scientists” more of an AGW “inquisition”.  They’re already using Saul Alinsky’s tactics against the scientists who dispute dangerous AGW.  You can see the faith-based mentality in the people who want to sock it to Pat Michaels.  You don’t see me bent out of shape about the guys who believe in the Electric Sun to the point I want to kick them in the privates.  That kind of emotion should be pulled out of science, but instead we see it permeating the ranks of the AGW proponents.

People who ignore this scandal do so at their own peril.  There are serious problems that should be denounced by the total of the scientific community.


5 Responses to “The ClimateGate View from the Autopsy”


  1. 1 Glenn
    December 7, 2009 at 8:24 pm

    I agree with every point you make here. It pleases me to see some of the unethical and unscientific practices the warmies have used brought into the limelight instead of staying buried only where us “skeptics” are aware of them. If there is such a “robust case for AGW” to quote The U.N. Climate Chief Yvo de Boer, then why would supposedly respectable scientists stoop to literally stacking the deck in their favor? Denying publication of papers via AGW biased peer reviewers, ad hominem attacks on AGW dissenters, the mindless destruction of records, the cherry picking and manipulation of data to agree with their AGW beliefs, The activist site Grist having a playbook listing canned answers for AGW debate to aid warmist non-scientists, and the stonewalling of FOIA requests to name a few.

    Instead of being ashamed with their mission in life and their careers being in jeopardy after being caught red-handed, the Al Gore backed activist website Real Climate and others, including the Obama administration, simply makes excuses and attempts to downplay the significance of what has occurred.

    Nixon thought Watergate was no big deal at first.

  2. 2 John A. Davison
    December 12, 2009 at 5:50 am

    Here are some sobering realities that do not involve data manipulation.

    1. Every glacier on earth is retreating.
    2. Both poles are melting.
    3. Polar seas are becoming more dilute.
    4. Sea level is rising faster than was anticipated.
    5. Weather patterns are being drastically altered world wide.
    6. Precipitation is increasing world wide.
    7. The reflectivity (albedo) of the earth is decreasing as reflective snow and ice are diappearing.

    I am a fan of Tim Flannery, author of “The Weather Makers” (Man) and like Flannery I am an alarmist. It is sad that global warming and climate change has become politicized as the above indisputable facts plead that man is the primary and perhaps sole cause of those events. Fudging data will in no way alter those facts. It is pathetic when scientists resort to such devices but it is in no way unique. Similar strategies have been effective in keeping alive the biggest hoax in the history of science, Darwinian evolution.

    I agree with Martin Rees, President of the Royal Society and author of “Our Final Century.” While my reasons are not the same as his, the prognosis is the same. The Industrial Revolution marked the beginning of the end for civilization, an end I am convinced will occur this century. I do not believe there is anything that can or will be done to prevent that catastrophe.

    I predict that the Gulf Stream will soon slow if it hasn’t already, with disastrous effects on Western Europe. I have dedicated an extensive thread to this topic.

    jadavison.wordpress.com

    • 3 docattheautopsy
      December 12, 2009 at 8:04 am

      If the ice core records from Greenland and Antarctica are correct, and I see no reason why they wouldn’t be, the current century is still far less warmer than the Medieval Warming period, and even less than that of a warm period at 1200 BC. In both cases, there wasn’t global disaster. In the case of the MWP, the island cultures in the Pacific were not wiped out.

      And it’s not “every glacier”. It’s most glaciers are showing retreating, about 80%. The other 20% are growing or showing no retreat. And the Antarctic ice cap hasn’t shown any sign of centralized melting.

  3. 4 John A. Davison
    December 17, 2009 at 12:15 pm

    The average temperature of the earth is only one of several factors that have undergone dramatic changes in the last two hundred years. If glacial and arctic ice and snow are not melting then why are arctic seas becoming more dilute. If the physiology of the earth is not being drastically altered then why are coral reefs bleaching? I would like to know which glaciers are not retreating. That is news to me. Enormous chunks of Antarctic ice shelf have fallen into the sea and it looks as though Arctic sea ice may soon disappear entirely. Are you prepared to deny that sea level is rising faster than anticipated? I hope not.

    I still think it is the melting of frozen water that is trhe chief deterrent to global warming. A violent “tipping point” is in the near future . The only question is when.

    I also predict that the Gulf Stream will soon slow if it hasn’t already, with devastating effects on Europe.

  4. 5 The Reality
    October 29, 2010 at 2:00 pm

    [Running commentary added]

    Unfortunately for the readers and writer of this blog, the allegations made under the Climategate Scandal have been debunked through a series of investigations spanning several continents. There is only one unresolved issue. Who or whom leaked the emails and broke into the network? This may never be resolved. Their intention is clear, leak a couple snippets out of context then let the media run wild. To that end, they were clearly successful. In the end, we all are the victims.
    You guys are in luck because here are a couple truths: Everyday the sea level rises a little more, the artic sea looses a little more ice [and gains it back], global temperatures rise a little higher [especially during El Nino years, but it has been pretty flat since 2001], the consequences become a little more insurmountable [which are all projected scare tactics], and the opportunity to reverse, at least in part, the damage we have caused passes us by a little bit more [at the cost of the global economy. The green economy has already shown to be problematic, and carbon trading in Europe has been been fraught with corruption. The current carbon exchange in the US was recently bailed out by the Dow (that’s Wall Street Fat Cats) because carbon was trading at 5 cents a share- the minimum amount on the Chicago Exchange.].
    Just to clear up any misconceptions [and poo-poo facts while tossing broad generalizations to discredit critics who have levied reasonable charges over and over again, only to be met with stonewalling by Al Gore, the IPCC, Michael Mann, Phil Jones, and the rest of the Green Machine], here is a partial list of organizations that support the conclusion of the IPCC [A conclusion that was reached by such scientific luminaries as UN Politicians, lawyers, green businessmen, and strangely, very few climate scientists] (An increasing body of observations gives a collective picture of a warming world and other changes in the climate system… There is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities) [Although similar warming– even greater warmin– was observed in the past that was not forced by CO2 changes]
    InterAcademy Council
    European Academy of Sciences and Arts
    International Council of Academies of Engineering and Technological Sciences
    Network of African Science Academies
    Royal Society of New Zealand
    Royal Society of the United Kingdom
    Polish Academy of Sciences
    National Research Council (US)
    General Science Societies:
    American Association for the Advancement of Science, the world’s largest general scientific society
    American Chemical Society
    American Institute of Physics
    American Physical Society
    Australian Institute of Physics
    European Physical Society
    European Science Foundation
    Federation of Australian Scientific and Technological Societies
    American Geophysical Union
    European Federation of Geologists
    European Geosciences Union
    Geological Society of America
    Geological Society of Australia
    International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics
    National Association of Geoscience Teachers
    American Meteorological Society
    Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
    Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences
    Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
    Royal Meteorological Society (UK)
    World Meteorological Organization
    American Quaternary Association
    International Union for Quaternary Research
    American Association of Wildlife Veterinarians
    American Institute of Biological Sciences
    American Society for Microbiology
    Australian Coral Reef Society
    Institute of Biology (UK)
    Society of American Foresters
    The Wildlife Society (international)
    American Academy of Pediatrics
    American College of Preventive Medicine
    American Medical Association
    American Public Health Association
    Australian Medical Association
    World Federation of Public Health Associations
    World Health Organization
    American Astronomical Society
    American Statistical Association
    Engineers Australia (The Institution of Engineers Australia)
    International Association for Great Lakes Research
    Institute of Professional Engineers New Zealand
    US CIA
    US Department of Defense
    US Securities and Exchange Commission
    52 Nobel Laureates, 63 National Medal of Science recipients, 195 members of the National Academie11, and 11885+ other scientists sign support petition
    2009 4th IPCC Report Working Group Included 920 Scientists

    Accept reality [Conform or we’ll blow you up– have you not seen the 10:10 commercial?]
    Beat the corporate distortion [Because the Green economy has nothing to do with corporate distortion]
    Become part of the solution [Or we’ll blow you up]
    Stop [This is where the cut and paste ended]


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About Me

My name is Doc. Welcome to my blog. If you're visiting from another blog, add me to your blogroll (and I'll happily reciprocate). I have a Ph.D. in Chemistry and live in Wisconsin. If you have any questions, feel free to email me. My email is docattheautopsy at gmail. (No linking to deflate the incredible spam monsters).

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